Thursday 27 August 2015

The best presentation I have ever seen on the SNP Manifesto Document " Scotlands Future"

So here we are , nearly one year on from the Scottish Independence referendum vote, for myself I made my decsion back then on how to vote based on more than 25 years of following the UK Business financial markets and some reasonable  knowledge of how volatile the Oil markets are and their outurn effects on the overall UK economy.  For me it was Job done and I duly voted "No" based purely on what I think was a pretty well informed financial opinion on Scotlands prospects. For me the head always has to rule the heart, commonsense has to prevail over rushing in blindly into someone else's Political Ideology based on "Hope without Facts."

So nearly a year later , with the benefit  of hindsight ....do I think I made the right decision for me , for Scotland and the nations future ?

Well since the time of  the Referendum Vote the Oil price per barrel of Crude Oil has fallen rapidly from over  $100 to around $45 per barrel as I type and its also pretty obvious that the SNP led administration had made deliberately optimistic  predictions for the future Oil Price in the Manifesto Document ,well above the figures used by the "Office for Budget Responsibility's" own predictions.... clearly to try to deliberately influence the outurn of the Vote in its own favour.  Looking back, this to me appears to have been wholly reckless and clearly "not very responsible at all " and  not what I'd expect from  any Government asking a nation to make such a large important decision on its future. It's my own clear personal view now that the SNP are simply idealogically driven  without morals and no longer financially trustworthy to be trusted with managing Scotlands long term future for the nations best result.

I'd  have some real difficulty personally trying to explain the complex financial figures  contained in the Independence manifesto  (and so do some members of the current SNP Government it would appear) so therefore I was very lucky to come across Kevin Hagues online blog (chokkablog)  very recently which even with the knowledge I had was a real eye opener and undeniably backs up my own view that Scotland as a nation managed to dodge a very large bullet back in September 2014.

I'd urge everyone  who may not  have fully understood the Indy Manifesto fully last year to watch
Kevins excellent presentation of the figures alone without offering any judgement or personal direction of how a vote should have been cast at that time.

His presentation starts with a very quick overview video and then follows up with a more indepth
and enlightening set of presentations  on the figures regarding Scotland long running fiscal deficit and how that figure would affect "FFA" (Full Fiscal Autonomy)  , its affect on Independence as well as how any financial shotfall might possibly have to be dealt with and the possible potential time periods involved to balance Scotlands large financial deficit. (More than scary !)

Clich here for the Video's   Click here to start Kevin Hagues excellent video presentations 

Kevin's Chokkablog Homepage can be found here http://chokkablog.blogspot.co.uk/ 

The "Gers" figures which are trustworthy Scottish national statistics compiled by the Scottish Government itself are explained again here
http://chokkablog.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/how-scotlands-economy-contributes-to-uk.html

What FFA is http://chokkablog.blogspot.co.uk/2015/04/full-fiscal-autonomy-for-dummies.html

These texts are all the work of Kevin Hague who has a very wide following from people on both sides of the Independence arguement. (see the "endorsements" tab on his Blog)

I hope you find them all as useful and informing as i did. (Kevin can be followed via his Blog or via Twitter.  Help inform other people by highlighting Kevins videos to them too.
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With Oil down at around $48 per barrel I am expecting at some point to see more figures to compound  a continuing worsening of the Scottish Financial position as i do not expect the World Crude Oil price to rise in the markets greatly anytime soon. I still can't beleive the deliberate deception in the Indy Manifesto by the SNP party Seniors in both using "old" data and then further using wholly over optimistic predictions on that old data to produce a fradulent picture of the "potential of Scotland's future". Kevins presentations show that SNP over optimistic promises of future prosperity were simply  a demonstrable lie.  How the SNP leaders have the gall to continue to rant on about the same issues and another Indy referendum is astounding as their niave childishness in blaming everyone but themselves for the last defeat. A flawed Ideology in Denial.

I wonder how people that voted Yes feel when they can clearly see that the SNP financial arguement for Independence was so weak that the Party  had decided to manipulate the figures to make them look so much better than they actually were ? The SNP clearly must think the Scottish electorate are fools that can't be trusted to make good clear decision on the real  facts and  so decided to use over optimistic  data that made the future of Scotland look far rosier that it actually was.  Wouldn't  that nornmally be called "fraud" ? 
There is an old saying we should never forget "Once a liar always a liar" the SNP have tarred themselves with their own brush.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/11481010/SNPs-whopping-exaggeration-on-oil-revenues-laid-bare.html